Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — Micro E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 7:46 AM to 8:15 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 2, 2026 at 7:46 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 29.4113. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:15 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

23.9230.7437.57Sep 2, 7:46 AM ET8:15 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 7:46 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

23.9230.7437.57Sep 2, 7:46 AM ET8:15 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:46 AM ET29.4113
Projected value at 8:15 AM ET23.122
Actual value at 8:15 AM ET38.0758
Projected change across the window-6.28925
Actual change across the window+8.66453
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.73×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall, while it rose instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.73 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (7:54 AM ET), where they sat 0.00284652 apart, and furthest at bar 28 (8:14 AM ET) with a gap of 15.3459. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (8:11 AM ET), a move of +2.27001. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:47 AM30.425229.3078-1.11747
67:52 AM26.424827.5396+1.11481
127:58 AM24.319824.0928-0.227012
188:04 AM23.712625.637+1.92438
248:10 AM23.082631.3495+8.26693
298:15 AM23.12238.0758+14.9538

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Automated analysis ADX for NinjaTrader Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on MNQ, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader prediction accuracy tracking for intraday futures A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Can ChatGPT read my MNQ chart in NinjaTrader 8? Yes. The chat indicator sits on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 MNQ chart: ask where the prediction turns or what the open indicators agree on. It answers questions; it does not place trades. ChatGPT for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.