Directional Movement (ADX) forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 4:40 AM to 5:09 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 9.82765. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:09 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

10.5215.6520.78Sep 2, 4:40 AM ET5:09 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 4:40 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

10.5215.6520.78Sep 2, 4:40 AM ET5:09 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:40 AM ET9.82765
Projected value at 5:09 AM ET20.3048
Actual value at 5:09 AM ET20.277
Projected change across the window+10.4771
Actual change across the window+10.4494
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (5:04 AM ET), where they sat 0.00609107 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (4:51 AM ET) with a gap of 6.11183. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (5:09 AM ET), a move of -1.18968. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:41 AM16.139210.2844-5.85479
64:46 AM16.887211.4823-5.40489
124:52 AM18.149312.4552-5.69406
184:58 AM19.709117.0003-2.70882
245:04 AM20.068420.0624-0.00609107
295:09 AM20.304820.277-0.027777

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1-minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.