Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — M2K, 5 minute chart, November 13, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 13, 2026, 1:54 AM to 4:19 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On November 13, 2026 at 1:54 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the M2K 5 minute chart read 32.5321. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:19 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

28.7341.0553.36Nov 13, 1:54 AM ET4:19 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 1:54 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

28.7341.0553.36Nov 13, 1:54 AM ET4:19 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:54 AM ET32.5321
Projected value at 4:19 AM ET27.0754
Actual value at 4:19 AM ET27.1823
Projected change across the window-5.45672
Actual change across the window-5.34977
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.02×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.02 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (4:19 AM ET), where they sat 0.106949 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:54 AM ET) with a gap of 19.5229. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (4:14 AM ET), a move of -1.85099. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:59 AM52.935134.3765-18.5586
62:24 AM54.270137.5957-16.6743
122:54 AM48.210433.2782-14.9322
183:24 AM39.835231.847-7.98821
243:54 AM32.973934.7395+1.76558
294:19 AM27.075427.1823+0.106949

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 5 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of M2K activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

MetaTrader 5 ADX automated analysis Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on M2K, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Indicator to predict the next candle on Micro Russell 2000 futures Yes. On a NinjaTrader 8 or MT5 M2K chart, PredictIndicators shows the predicted open, high, low and close of the coming bars to the right of the last bar. Next candle prediction indicator →

Is there an AI chat inside MetaTrader 5 for M2K? Yes. The chat indicator sits on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 M2K chart: ask where the prediction turns or what the open indicators agree on. It answers questions; it does not place trades. ChatGPT for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.