Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — M2K, 5 minute chart, November 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers November 12, 2026, 10:47 PM to 1:12 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On November 12, 2026 at 10:47 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the M2K 5 minute chart read 16.9407. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:12 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

17.9525.4933.03Nov 12, 10:47 PM ET1:12 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 10:47 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

17.9525.4933.03Nov 12, 10:47 PM ET1:12 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:47 PM ET16.9407
Projected value at 1:12 AM ET22.9653
Actual value at 1:12 AM ET23.8704
Projected change across the window+6.02456
Actual change across the window+6.92963
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (12:37 AM ET), where they sat 0.0628298 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (11:12 PM ET) with a gap of 10.6073. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (11:42 PM ET), a move of +1.8025. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:52 PM24.348317.3667-6.9816
611:17 PM29.971720.3578-9.61394
1211:47 PM33.053727.59-5.4637
1812:17 AM28.002827-1.00275
2412:47 AM24.071124.1635+0.0923878
291:12 AM22.965323.8704+0.905069

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 5 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 5 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 2.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 2.5 hours of M2K activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Download AI ADX for NT8 Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on M2K, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

NinjaTrader future candle visualization Yes. PredictIndicators runs inside NinjaTrader 8: the predicted M2K candles and the predicted indicators sit on your own chart, next to the indicators you already use. NinjaTrader 8 price prediction indicator →

Can ChatGPT read my M2K chart in NinjaTrader 8? Yes. The chat indicator sits on your NinjaTrader 8 or MetaTrader 5 M2K chart: ask where the prediction turns or what the open indicators agree on. It answers questions; it does not place trades. ChatGPT for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.