Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 1:55 AM to 2:24 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 27, 2026 at 1:55 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 45.424. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:24 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

15.6229.5843.55Sep 27, 1:55 AM ET2:24 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 1:55 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

15.6229.5843.55Sep 27, 1:55 AM ET2:24 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:55 AM ET45.424
Projected value at 2:24 AM ET24.2529
Actual value at 2:24 AM ET19.4461
Projected change across the window-21.1712
Actual change across the window-25.9779
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.81×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.81 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (2:05 AM ET), where they sat 0.287796 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (1:56 AM ET) with a gap of 14.0748. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (2:01 AM ET), a move of -2.80323. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:56 AM30.662644.7373+14.0748
62:01 AM26.312533.242+6.92956
122:07 AM24.135221.0743-3.06092
182:13 AM24.22714.4076-9.8194
242:19 AM24.432916.1497-8.28314
292:24 AM24.252919.4461-4.80672

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best NinjaTrader 8 artificial intelligence ADX Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader Directional Movement prediction for Bitcoin Yes. The same PredictIndicators predictions run on MetaTrader 5 charts, with one licence covering MT5 and NinjaTrader 8. MetaTrader 5 price prediction indicator →

NinjaTrader ask AI about technical indicators for intraday futures The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the BTCUSD chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.