Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 12:27 AM to 12:56 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 27, 2026 at 12:27 AM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 34.8632. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:56 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

18.2226.0233.82Sep 27, 12:27 AM ET12:56 AM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 12:27 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

18.2226.0233.82Sep 27, 12:27 AM ET12:56 AM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:27 AM ET34.8632
Projected value at 12:56 AM ET23.9991
Actual value at 12:56 AM ET26.1747
Projected change across the window-10.8641
Actual change across the window-8.68854
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.25×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.25 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (12:52 AM ET), where they sat 0.0983562 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (12:28 AM ET) with a gap of 8.52082. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (12:37 AM ET), a move of -2.16128. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:28 AM26.010334.5311+8.52082
612:33 AM23.589428.249+4.65966
1212:39 AM23.187919.8161-3.37182
1812:45 AM23.296317.1902-6.10605
2412:51 AM23.594822.7992-0.795608
2912:56 AM23.999126.1747+2.17556

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Best NinjaTrader predictive ADX PredictIndicators draws the predicted ADX for BTCUSD up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the ADX you already use. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

Is there an AI chat inside MetaTrader 5 for BTCUSD? A general chatbot only sees a screenshot. The PredictIndicators chat indicator reads your live BTCUSD chart in NinjaTrader 8 or MT5, including every indicator you have open and the predicted candles. ChatGPT for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader predictive indicator confidence score for BTCUSD A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.