Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 9:18 PM to 9:47 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

Watch PredictIndicators.ai on a NinjaTrader 8 chart — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future (MetaTrader 5 too):

Questions NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 traders ask

MetaTrader 4 FX PredictIndicators.ai runs on MetaTrader 5 and NinjaTrader 8, not MetaTrader 4 — indicators built for one do not run on the other. Most brokers offer the same account in MetaTrader 5. MT4 vs MT5 guide →

Forex meta 4 PredictIndicators.ai runs on MetaTrader 5 and NinjaTrader 8, not MetaTrader 4 — indicators built for one do not run on the other. Most brokers offer the same account in MetaTrader 5. MT4 vs MT5 guide →

MetaTrader 5 website Fees, accounts, demo trading and app features are set by NinjaTrader or by your MetaTrader 5 broker. PredictIndicators.ai adds predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars ahead, on top of the charts you already use. Setup guide →

Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 26, 2026 at 9:18 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 34.2945. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:47 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

22.4132.1441.87Sep 26, 9:18 PM ET9:47 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 9:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

22.4132.1441.87Sep 26, 9:18 PM ET9:47 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:18 PM ET34.2945
Projected value at 9:47 PM ET22.551
Actual value at 9:47 PM ET43.1789
Projected change across the window-11.7436
Actual change across the window+8.88434
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.32×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.32 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (9:34 PM ET), where they sat 0.738953 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (9:47 PM ET) with a gap of 20.6279. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (9:45 PM ET), a move of +2.69211. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:19 PM25.129632.624+7.49448
69:24 PM21.945627.4092+5.4636
129:30 PM21.10525.1342+4.02926
189:36 PM21.634223.2388+1.60462
249:42 PM22.139531.8978+9.75828
299:47 PM22.55143.1789+20.6279

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Free trial predictive AI ADX for NinjaTrader 8 Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, PredictIndicators shows where the ADX is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

MetaTrader how does AI analyze my indicators The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the BTCUSD chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

MetaTrader historical indicator prediction accuracy A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty. PredictIndicators publishes its predicted values next to what the market actually did, so they can be checked before relying on them. Predictions vs what happened →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.