Directional Movement (ADX) prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 7:37 PM to 8:06 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

Watch PredictIndicators.ai on a NinjaTrader 8 chart — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future (MetaTrader 5 too):

Questions NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 traders ask

MetaTrader 4 download PredictIndicators.ai runs on MetaTrader 5 and NinjaTrader 8, not MetaTrader 4 — indicators built for one do not run on the other. Most brokers offer the same account in MetaTrader 5. MT4 vs MT5 guide →

NinjaTrader demo account Fees, accounts, demo trading and app features are set by NinjaTrader or by your MetaTrader 5 broker. PredictIndicators.ai adds predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars ahead, on top of the charts you already use. Setup guide →

Forex MetaTrader 4 PredictIndicators.ai runs on MetaTrader 5 and NinjaTrader 8, not MetaTrader 4 — indicators built for one do not run on the other. Most brokers offer the same account in MetaTrader 5. MT4 vs MT5 guide →

Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 26, 2026 at 7:37 PM ET, Directional Movement (ADX) on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 17.7854. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:06 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

13.4818.9424.41Sep 26, 7:37 PM ET8:06 PM ET
Projected Directional Movement (ADX) path, 30 bars from 7:37 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

13.4818.9424.41Sep 26, 7:37 PM ET8:06 PM ET
Recorded Directional Movement (ADX) values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:37 PM ET17.7854
Projected value at 8:06 PM ET21.436
Actual value at 8:06 PM ET24.8956
Projected change across the window+3.6506
Actual change across the window+7.11018
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.51×

Reading this window

The projection called for Directional Movement (ADX) to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.51 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (7:56 PM ET), where they sat 0.0698632 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (7:47 PM ET) with a gap of 4.71164. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (7:38 PM ET), a move of -1.88244. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:38 PM17.742215.9029-1.83927
67:43 PM17.008215.4911-1.51708
127:49 PM17.733514.1922-3.54135
187:55 PM19.301618.5432-0.758376
248:01 PM20.530621.639+1.10843
298:06 PM21.43624.8956+3.45958

About Directional Movement (ADX) on a 1 minute chart

ADX summarises how strongly a market is trending, without saying which way. Higher readings mean a more persistent move, in either direction. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

See live indicator predictions on PredictIndicators.ai →

Questions traders ask

Best predictive ADX for MetaTrader 5 PredictIndicators draws the predicted ADX for BTCUSD up to 30 bars ahead on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts, next to the ADX you already use. ADX indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

How to install a prediction indicator in MT5 for BTCUSD In NinjaTrader 8 import the zip with Tools → Import → NinjaScript Add On; in MetaTrader 5 run the setup. Then add PredictIndicators to your BTCUSD chart. How to install →

NinjaTrader AI assistant that reads open indicators for BTCUSD The PredictIndicators chat indicator runs live on NinjaTrader 8 and MetaTrader 5 charts: ask about the BTCUSD chart, the predicted candles and the indicators, and the answer appears on the chart. AI chat indicator →

Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.